产品:XAU/USD
预测:上升
基本分析:
黄金价格(XAU/USD)周四上涨近2%,结束了连续四天的跌势,这是由于市场对美联储(Fed)在9月份大幅降息的预期升温。此外,对中东冲突扩大的担忧也成为资金流向这一避险贵金属的另一个因素。与此同时,美元的进一步买盘通常会削弱商品的需求,但这一强劲的日内上涨走势似乎未受到影响。
技术分析:
从技术角度来看,近期从50日简单移动平均线(SMA)的支撑位反弹,并随后的上涨走势对看涨交易者有利。此外,日线图上的振荡指标再次开始获得正面动能,表明黄金价格的阻力最小的路径是向上。因此,一些后续强势上涨至下一个相关阻力区间(接近$2,448-2,450区域)看起来是明显的可能性。动能可能进一步延伸,挑战7月触及的历史高位(接近$2,483-2,484区域)。后者紧随其后的心理关口是$2,500,一旦突破,将为进一步的短期升值走势奠定基础。
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