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昨天CPI数据公布后,市场对于9月大幅cut的押注下降,利率有所上行,term prem flatten,美股震荡,DJI表现好于CCMP,大型科技公司也遭到抛售。之前对于MP的预期已经比较充足,市场在CPI数据之后重新回到对于基本面的担忧上,商品走弱,EIA库存意外增加对原油也产生拖累。 数据面上,US公布的7月CPI环比为+0.2%,与预期相符,同比为+2.9%,低于预期。核心指数环比为+0.2%,同比为+3.2%,均与预期相符。连着两天的通胀数据都是相对好看的,不过确实也出现了CPI出来后,预期落地的表现,并且其实CPI的表现上没有PPI那么明显,所以之前利率市场上各50%的25/50bps的预期出现了修复。 美国能源信息署(EIA)称,在截至8月9日的一周,原油库存增加136万桶,达到4.307亿桶。路透调查显示分析师原本预期为减少220万桶。油价受此影响下行。

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