澳大利亚周五公布的数据略显鸽派。数据显示,在连续几个月受打折活动提振而表现良好之后,澳洲7月零售销售持平,因为随着购物者变得更加节俭,服装和百货商店的销售受到冲击。
目前,市场暗示11月降息的可能性为40%,在通胀数据公布前该机率为 56%。12月降息的可能性也回到86%,在本周初曾一度被完全定价。 (0#RBAWATCH)
在新西兰,一项调查显示,新西兰8月消费者信心有所改善,尽管从历史上看仍然疲弱,但已远高于最低点。
10 月降息25个基点的预期已被充分定价,但市场在一定程度上降低了降息50个基点的可能性。
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