距离美国在可能实施降息之前最后一张通胀答卷的公布越来越近,市场开始谨慎,多空双方也在拉扯。2022年为了抗击通胀,美国开始带头开启了加息周期,迫使其他主要央行也紧跟步伐开始加息。如今距离下一期美联储利率决议仅剩不到20天的时间,根据CME的数据显示目前加急降息50BP的可能性为34%,软着陆降息25BP的可能性为66%。而今晚将会是9月美联储利率决议之前最后一次公布核心PCE物价指数通胀数据。同样在昨晚美国公布了两个好于预期的数据,申请失业金人数小幅优于预期,GDP增速修正录得3%,好于市场预期的208%,在地缘政治方面以色列与哈马斯同意暂时停火为儿童接种疫苗。今晚澳东时间22:30将会公布核心PCE物价指数年率,短线上对黄金有极大的影响。
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