黄金的局部高点在哪里?不知道,目前到了2590附近,还会不会冲高,不知道,但是应该是一个大概率事件。
黄金会不会回调,一定会,而且幅度可能非常大,因为会夹杂情绪交易。回调之后会不会重新上涨,打破这次高点,答案是肯定会,只是需要时间。所以这次的高点只能定义为局部高点,并不是黄金历史终结的高点。
高点在哪里不知道,但是判断下跌的标准很清晰。日线和周线级别都在形成背离趋势,2530是第一个转空的分界线,失守2530,2480几乎可以肯定守不住,紧接着是2430与2400,跌破2400,多头心态会崩,进一步急挫至2380/2360是大概率事件,多头应该能守住2300/2280这个区间,下跌应该会在短时间内完成,事件驱动踩踏式交易,获利了结大量平仓,情绪化交易投机交易纷勇而至,应该不会是磨磨唧唧的螺旋式下跌。以上仅代表braddlee的个人观点。
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