今天因为私事太忙了没时间去分析昨夜的点阵图和鲍威尔的讲话，点阵图终端利率下调，降息50基点，年内还有50基点，11-12月各25个基点，但是小心市场炒作75个基点，2025降息100个基点，因为终端利率下调会影响市场预期空间，鲍威尔似乎想纠正市场偏差预期，黄金触及2600后下跌50美元，空头要开始狂欢了吗？
我个人看空，也持有底仓继续看，但是我需要提醒空头盲目杀入存在风险，黄金应该短期内难以去2600之上，但是存在回调至2570-2580的概率，如果亚盘在2560附近杀入可能有点难受，记住黄金只有跌破2530才全面转空，昨日鸽派利多走出下跌行情，今日保持反弹空是没错，但是点位不对仓位过重会难受，抗不过去可能死。
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