Product: XAU/USD
Prediction: Increase
Fundamental Analysis: XAUUSD have hit a record high, surpassing $2,600, driven by the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and Middle East tensions. Last week, the Fed lowered rates by 50 basis points, beginning a monetary easing cycle, which boosted gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset. Investors are also turning to gold to hedge against uncertainties caused by prolonged conflicts in the Middle East and elsewhere. Gold's rise may indicate that the economy is bracing for major events, like a possible recession, debt crisis, or a crash in other assets like cryptocurrencies. Some warn a recession may have already started.
Technical Analysis: In the short term, from a technical perspective, the 60-minute chart shows that gold is trading in an upward channel. The 14-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) supports a short-term bullish trend, as the indicator is near overbought levels. This means that gold buyers will aim to push the price higher toward $2,654, or even $2,691. On the other hand, sellers might look to take profits if the price falls back to around $2,587 or lower to $2,551. On the daily chart, gold is also trading in an upward channel, with the 14-day RSI indicating a bullish trend near overbought territory
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