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今天晚上将公布9月未季调CPI数据,前值2.5%预期2.3%,未季调核心CPI前值与预期都是3.2%,美国大选临近,非农数据直接打脸,通胀数据按理会配合营造美国经济依旧强大且通胀有效得到控制,这是美国大选需要的,再结合最近关于美联储降息首次50个基点的杂音,应该做实11月降息25个基点的预期,要当心交易市场炒作11月不降息的预期,这对黄金多头不利,黄金在2603附近获得支撑,失守2600将有可能去2550之下,做空唯一不确定性在于中东局势,以色列🇮🇱不太可能不回击伊朗🇮🇷,但是原油市场是最直接的反馈,原油连续两个交易日大幅下跌说明中东局势至少缓和了,不再是交易员关注的主要焦点。今晚看是否是一个阻碍美联储大幅降息的通胀数据,即大于预期2.3%,或者核心大于3.2%,通胀出现反弹,非农就业数据大好,共同营造美联储不必急于降息的预期。

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