FPG:黄金、原油、恒生 50 指数和澳元/美元本周的大概分析。
V:fpglucas
黄金在周五创下每盎司 2,720 美元以上的新高后,可能延续其上行趋势。黄金作为避险资产,其上行势头受到各国央行降息、全球经济衰退担忧和中东动荡的支持。
由于中国需求前景减弱和美国持续增产使得原油价格承压。油价可能继续下跌趋势,但或在本周下探关键技术支撑位而出现短线反弹。
恒生指数自 9 月份低的暴涨后出现大幅回落,一是因后续出台的刺激政策缺乏具体细节,并且房地产支持额度低于市场预期。获利回吐或同时造成急速回撤的原因。然而,随着政府持续的实施促增长措施,中国市场或可能呈现“慢牛”趋势。
从技术角度来看,澳元/美元可能继续下跌,因为该货币对已跌破 50 日均线的关键支撑位。同时,其图表出现了潜在的看跌背离形态,意味澳元兑美元有可能继续走弱。
V:fpglucas
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