产品:XAU/USD
预测:上升
基本分析:
现货黄金价格略低于历史高点,跌幅为0.09%,因美国国债收益率上升了10个基点,达到4.192%。避险资金继续流入,中东局势紧张以及美国大选不确定性增加,随着民调显示哈里斯和特朗普的竞选势均力敌。美联储官员暗示将逐步降息,但市场依然定价为11月会议上将降息25个基点。
技术分析:
尽管出现“墓碑线”形态,可能会引发回调,但金价预计将继续上升。动能显示买家仍占据主导地位,但力度正在减弱,这可以通过相对强弱指数(RSI)反映出来。尽管RSI仍处于超买区域,但已经趋于平稳。如果XAU/USD突破10月21日的高点2740美元,下一个阻力位将是2750美元,接着是2800美元。相反,如果XAU/USD未能守住2700美元的历史高点,可能会导致调整,首个支撑位是10月17日的2696美元,之后是10月4日的2670美元。
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