随着特朗普在美国大选中获胜的可能性上升，美元表现强劲，隐含概率已提升至60%以上，英镑兑美元跌破1.30。
市场关注即将到来的大选，特朗普获胜预期持续升高。尽管民意调查竞争激烈，过去35年市场预测准确率达77%。
近期美元对欧元和英镑的上涨，至少有2%是因市场为大选投票做准备。若哈里斯获胜，英镑和欧元可能大幅反弹。
共和党“红色扫荡”结果的可能性上升，若发生，美元或将表现最佳；反之，“蓝色扫荡”则可能施压美元。
若特朗普获胜，英镑兑美元可能跌至1.23，欧元兑美元目标为1.03；若哈里斯获胜，欧元兑美元可能回升至1.11，英镑兑美元则反弹至1.33。
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