#XAU/USD#黄金4小时图打破头肩顶形态，做顶形态失败，震荡格局明显，周末只要不出现重大地缘政治事件，例如小以子报复伊朗，同时伊朗重拳回击，这个就似达摩利斯之剑，感觉总会在哪个周末落下，东亚80后应该不会脑子抽风去统一半岛，下周一不跳空高开的情况下，应该会维持在2750-2710这个区间震荡，白银在38.2%获得支撑，继续观察是否进一步回调至61.8%档位。坚持认为黄金如果维持高位震荡，应该会在事件刺激下冲出一个新高，下周伴随非农数据可能会有进一步方向的指引。坚持认为美国大选尘埃落定，黄金会出现一波大跌回调行情，特别是特朗普当选跌幅大于哈里斯当选，随时紧盯实际利率，黄金脱离实际利率已经有一段时间了，回归价值区间才是王道，地缘政治的定价一旦抹杀，实际利率的抬升就是对黄金的绝杀。
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