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“特朗普交易”改变黄金定价逻辑,美联储货币政策的作用空间或有缩窄。短期,部分因不确定性带来的避险资金从黄金板块撤出,叠加特朗普胜选后美元强势的预期,美元指数、美债收益率双双上涨,金价在短期预计承压。中长期看,美国经济增长带来的再通胀交易或推动黄金保值增值,同时特朗普政府带来的宏观不确定性将再度提升金价的避险属性。

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