产品:EUR/USD
预测:上升
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基本分析:
本周中期,EUR/USD多头表现挣扎,价格下跌近0.5%,但仍维持在1.0500关口上方。 周四欧元和美元市场较为平静,投资者静待周五的采购经理人指数(PMI)数据。 周五,欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德将在法兰克福的欧洲银行会议上发表讲话,预计将讨论欧 盟货币政策及其对银行业的影响,交易者期待她可能透露的降息信号。 同时,欧洲HCOB PMI数据也将在拉加德讲话期间公布,市场预计综合PMI将维持在50.0,显示商业 活动稳定。本周的关键数据是S&P PMI,预计制造业和服务业PMI均会略有上升。
技术分析:
EUR/USD目前徘徊在一年多以来的最低水平,上周三触及54周低点后,短暂的反弹迅速消退,多头 未能突破1.0600关口。 自9月高点1.1200以上以来,欧元已下跌约6%,技术前景发生了显著变化。EUR/USD仍低于50日指 数移动平均线,且该均线呈下降趋势,预计很快会跌破1.0800水平。
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