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新西兰联储降息预期与纽元走势预测 新西兰联储预计将在周三降息50基点,利率降至4.25%。这一决定旨在帮助经济增长并稳定通胀,降息幅度较为适中,符合当前经济形势。 新西兰经济增速放缓,通胀回落,因此联储希望通过降息将利率调整至更中性的水平(3%-4%),以支持经济恢复。 随着全球经济的不确定性,尤其是特朗普可能实施关税,我预计纽元兑美元可能会跌至0.55,并在年底前跌至0.58,甚至可能在明年第一季度触及更低水平。

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