黄金兑美元 XAUUSD
交易策略:(趋势跟随)2640附近回踩做空
阻力参考:2640;2650(止损)
支撑参考:2625-2630;2615
技术面:100均线出现拐点,早盘消息面下行动能极强。不过考虑到澳东12点大宗商品内盘开盘后,铜价与A指有所上涨,抵消了一部分金价下行动力。因此日内尤其是亚盘的黄金交易策略以回踩做空为主。
基本面:黄金上周的反弹中主要受到俄乌冲突升级的影响。但明眼人都能看出来, 双方都在为川普上台后的谈判争取筹码。也就是说,最终的方向还是停火,这点也在昨日泽连斯基的讲话中得到验证。上周五美股盘中,泽连斯基表示准备结束俄乌战争,以换取北约资格,甚至同意俄罗斯暂不归还土地。消息一出,黄金与原油同步下跌。因此黄金价格应该以偏空看待,尤其是配合今早川普对金砖国家的威胁,造成大宗商品市场的萎靡。
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