欧元兑日元 EURJPY
交易策略:(趋势跟随)前高点附近逢高做空
阻力参考:157.5-158(止损)
支撑参考:156.5(突破);156;155.5
技术面:100均线向下,但稍有拐点,空单入场需要设好止损。由于欧元回补前一天跌幅,欧日因此回到了趋势线附近,并有突破迹象。考虑到市场低估了法国政府垮台的风险,日内交易策略仍然以逢高做空为主。一旦法国政府解散,欧日可能会快速跌破前低点156.5。
基本面:最近日元体现了良好的避险属性,甚至比黄金更为稳定。如果法国政府真的被解散,日元将会获得利好。因此欧元兑日元的做空仍然是日内交易的优先选择。不过需要警惕亚盘期间,亚洲系货币的集体下跌,尤其是受到早上低于预期的澳洲GDP影响,澳元与新西兰元大跌也带动日元下滑。因此欧元兑日元的做空需要带好止损
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