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所有人都在关注今天晚些时候公布的美国非农就业数据,这可能会导致欧洲市场较为安静。总体估计非农业就业人数将反弹至新增20万人,反弹的原因包括飓风和罢工后劳动力回归等。但无论今天的数据如何,过去几年非农业就业人数呈现明显下降趋势,也重申了劳动力市场的疲软,这是美联储在开始降息周期时一直在暗示的。即使新增就业人数超过20万,我认为这也不会迫使美联储改变本月降息的主意,尤其是明年劳动力市场可能会延续疲软趋势,且11月数据可能会受到前面提及的因素的影响。

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