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Morning Wrap (13.12.2024)
๐ Asian markets slump after Wall Street losses, with China leading the decline:
๐ญ๐ฐ Hang Seng: -1.9%
๐ฏ๐ต Nikkei: -1.3%
๐จ๐ณ CSI 300: -2%
๐ Bright spot: South Korea's ๐ฐ๐ท KOSPI edges up +0.3%.
๐ผ China's Economic Work Conference underwhelms markets:
State media hints at higher deficits and looser policy.
Analysts call measures insufficient.
ANZ projects 4.9% GDP growth for 2024 but flags property market risks.
โ๏ธ SEC targets Neuralink:
48-hour deadline for settlement over undisclosed charges.
Musk's lawyer brands it "harassment" in a letter to SEC Chair Gensler.
๐ถ ECB moves:
Cuts rates by 25bps; some policymakers pushed for a larger 50bps cut.
Markets expect slower Fed easing in 2025.
๐ต Dollar strengthens, hitting a 2.5-week high against major currencies.
๐ Fed meeting ahead:
96.4% chance of a 25bps cut next week.
January cut odds fall to 20% as inflation remains sticky.
USDJPY ๐ 152.9; EURUSD โ๏ธ 1.04635.
๐ข๏ธ Oil stabilises:
Brent: $73.48
WTI: $69.68
Heading for first weekly gain since November.
IEA raises 2025 demand forecast but warns of surplus.
๐ฅ Gold steady at $2,687, holding weekly gains on geopolitical tensions.
๐ฅ Copper drops to $9,093 as China's stimulus disappoints.
๐ Japan's Tankan survey reflects improved sentiment, but firms remain cautious.
BOJ likely to hold rates next week amid global uncertainties.
๐ฐ๐ท South Korea's political drama:
Parliament prepares impeachment vote against President Yoon over martial law declaration.
Markets rattled by uncertainty.
๐๏ธ Looking ahead:
Focus on Fed meeting next week.
Key data: ๐ฌ๐ง UK GDP and ๐ช๐บ Eurozone industrial production due Friday.
๐จ Stay tuned for more updates! ๐จ
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