#专题｜美联储决议#关于美联储明日凌晨降息的鹰鸽之争，目前主流观点都集中在点阵图，2025年3次降息为中性，低于3次为鹰，4次是鸽派降息。美联储降息的点阵图与新闻发布会一向是搭配使用。美联储致力于降低通胀的目标不变，就会对近期通胀的反弹做出回应，核心通胀依旧顽固，因此个人认为有概率低于3次，新闻发布会应该是非常鸽派偏向安抚市场，鉴于美联储的独立性，如果回答关于特朗普经济政策对于美联储政策的影响是非常关键，鲍威尔大概率不会妥协，会坚持独立性。
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