预计金价到今年年底不会达到3000美元/盎司，并将这一预测推迟到2026年中期，因市场预计美联储将减少降息幅度。高盛分析师莉娜•托马斯和丹•斯特鲁文等预计，金价将在年底触及每盎司2910美元。受美国大选后不确定性缓解的推动，去年12月ETF资金流动性弱于预期，这也导致新一年的定价起点较低。分析师表示：“投机性需求下降而央行购金增加，这两股相反力量有效地相互抵消，在过去几个月里使金价保持在区间波动。央行购金仍将是长期金价的关键驱动因素。展望未来，我们预计到2026年中期，每月平均购买量将达到38吨。
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