1.7黄金日内思路分析
基本面,昨日因美媒称特朗普将仅针对关键进口商品实施普遍关税,美元指数大幅跳水,随后特朗普在社交媒体平台发文表示关于关税政策将缩水的报道不实,美元指数触底回升; 10年期美国国债收益率不断上升,徘徊在4.634%附近,反映出市场对美联储2025年大幅降息的怀疑。美元和美债收益率两大因素都将对金价后市产生利空影响,不过金价并未就此持续回落走低,而是继续维持震荡调整,一方面美元指数的走强并不是加息政策和经济数据持续向好的推动,所以并不能直接对金价造成看空压力,只能限制金价多头力度。数据关注今天的JOLTS职位空缺报告,周三的ADP就业数据,以及美联储会议纪要。周五的非农就业报告是焦点,预计将提供就业市场状况的明确性,并影响美联储的政策立场。
盘面看,4小时进入收缩区间内震荡,布林道开始收缩当中,昨日下探下轨处稍有支撑。目前的区间低点在稍微上移,但向上的持续动能不足,短期等待区间突破,目前由于日K线实体缩量,收缩震荡当中。
支撑位参考,2622-2615-2603
阻力位参考,2649-2658-2665
操作思路,主空次多。激进空单以2650为止损位,给到45附近激进进空。稳健以2666为止损位,给到2659附近入场。多单方面,日内首次触及2624轻仓入场多单吃短多反弹,损20。以2599为止损位,给到2606多单进场。
个人观点,仅供学术交流!#XAU/USD#
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