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#非农来袭你有什么交易计划# 回到今晚的非农,前面说了非农的大幅小于前值的预期已经走完,黄金在2680关口徘徊:1.如果晚间数据低于16万,同时失业率进一步上升(前值4.2%,预期4.2%),这是一个利好数据,进一步佐证美联储2025降息3次甚至更多,对黄金利好,预估还有一冲,鉴于黄金在日线级别的震荡走势,上方重点关注的是2696-2700这个区间,概率上突破的可能性不大。2.就业数据小于16万时,越接近16万利多的影响就越小,失业率维持4.2%则利多影响小。3.如果数据大于16万,失业率维持4.2%,则利空,本周的涨幅将被大部分回吐,黄金将止步于2680。4.数据大于16万,失业率上升4.3%,一多一空,理论上将按照空头方向回吐本周涨幅,但是回吐的幅度有限。

Edited 10 Jan 2025, 16:25

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