如今,质疑美国就业数据真实性的声音日益高涨。“大农太假了”这类说法频出,致使华尔街投行的预测屡屡失误 。官媒多次曝光2024年美国真实就业状况比外界所知更差,就业人数修正高达81.6万,平均每月多报6.8万人。这表明非农数据或成美国经济和就业的“遮羞布”,一旦被揭开,市场对美国经济复苏的信心将崩塌,从软着陆预期转为硬着陆。
上周五公布的12月美国就业数据超预期,华尔街投行预期16万,公布值却高达25.6万,失业率也从4.2%下滑到4.1% ,但市场并不买账。按常理,就业与失业率双提升,黄金应暴跌,可实际金价从2660美元附近冲击2700美元附近,不跌反涨。这足以说明资本市场早知美国就业实情,借数据洗盘收割依数据交易的投资者。#XAU/USD#
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