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二、敖丙的“龙筋陷阱”——警惕交易中的“沉没成本”执念 敖丙为了修复龙族荣耀,不惜赌上性命抽取哪吒龙筋,最终却反遭反噬。在期货交易中,这种因前期亏损而不断加仓摊薄成本,最终导致爆仓的“沉没成本谬误”并不少见。2022年镍期货逼空事件,许多投资者就是因为陷入了“沉没成本”的陷阱,无法自拔,最终损失惨重。 为了避免重蹈敖丙的覆辙,我们需要建立严格的交易纪律: 1. “斩龙筋”纪律:设定单笔亏损上限,一旦亏损超过本金的5%,强制平仓,及时止损,避免损失进一步扩大。 2. “敖丙复盘模板”:每周对交易进行复盘,统计“无效头寸”的持仓时间,分析情绪干扰因子,从失败中吸取教训,不断完善自己的交易策略。

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