价值背离策略 - 黄金兑美元 XAUUSD
短线交易策略:(均值回归)跌破2925跟随做空
阻力参考:2940;2945(止损)
支撑参考:2925(突破);2900;2880
技术面:水平大幅震荡区间,现价接近前高点,不确定突破动能。空单入场更适合等待价格跌破2925关口,跟随做空。如果要在高位做空,需要设好小止损,以左侧交易扩大盈亏比。
总结来说,让黄金价格飙升的两大基本面,关税转移和非美利率都发生小幅扭转。虽然现在无法说黄金要开始进入回调性熊市,但是金价的上涨很可能不再是逼空式的,更可能出现大幅震荡行情。更是高抛低吸的交易策略。如果还想要短线看涨黄金,就需要等到金价回到低位(例如2900下方),不再适合突破跟涨。
3月1日的加墨关税可能是熊市转折点,当然也可能发生在本周五的欧洲PMI数据行情。如果非美经济好,黄金的压力会更大。
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