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The exchange rate remains in a limited range of fluctuation despite the stormy events in geopolitical and economic environment, with President Donald Trump announcing during his speech yesterday the imposition of 25% tariffs on the European Union but without specifying details. For several weeks, ma

Germany goes to the polls, but far-right AfD unlikely to form government. German CPI data might be bigger driver for the Euro. US inflation also in the spotlight as PCE report awaited. CPI releases in Australia and Japan, Canadian GDP also on tap. Will German elections change the outlook much? When

EU mid-market update: Trump’s tariff plans and Fed’s cautious stance dominate narrative; Yen at 10-week high; Markets brace for choppy waters as trade war fears collide with pockets of resilience in luxury and corporate earnings. Notes/observations - European equity markets opened firmer on Thursday

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We and the market expect RBA to cut the cash rate by 25bps at the 18 February meeting. However, there is a risk that RBA delivers a hawkish surprise amid a tight labour market and elevated CPI. RBNZ is likely to cut rates by 50bps at the 19 February meeting, with surprises unlikely. We see upside ri

NZD/USD tests the immediate resistance at a nine-day EMA of 0.5654. The 14-day RSI is positioned below the 50 level, suggesting a bearish bias is active. A successful break below 0.5650 could lead the pair to approach the rectangle’s lower boundary at the 0.5550 level. The NZD/USD pair breaks its th