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Stocks drift lower as yields rise
Signs of strengthening US inflation have unnerved investors, putting pressure on stocks, while a new French PM might not be able to resolve the country’s difficulties, says Chris Beauchamp, Chief Market Analyst at online trading platform IG. Stocks weaken in final session Earlier gains have drifted
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Budget deficit swells in November, pushing fiscal 2025 shortfall 64% higher than a year ago
The U.S. budget deficit swelled in November, putting fiscal 2025 already at a much faster pace than a year ago when the shortfall topped $1.8 trillion, the Treasury Department reported Wednesday. For the month, the deficit totaled $366.8 billion, 17% higher than November 2023 and taking the total fo
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Private debt in emerging countries: Averages are misleading
Since 2019, private sector debt in emerging countries as a whole has risen as a percentage of GDP, while at the same time private sector debt in advanced countries has fallen. However, a country-by-country analysis shows that China alone is responsible for this increase and that, even excluding Chin
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Steeper EUR curves from both sides
We see the landing point of the European Central Bank at 1.75%, reaching that level by mid-2025, but the path towards this may be bumpy. From the back end, EUR swap curves will feel upward pressure from higher UST yields, especially in the second half of 2025. Our forecast is therefore a further ste
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WTI rebounds to near $68.00 amid Middle East geopolitical risks
WTI edges higher to near $67.90 in Monday's early Asian session. Middle East turmoil and China’s policy shift could underpin the WTI price in the near term. The cautious stance of the Fed might cap the WTI’s downside. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $67.9
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Forecasting the upcoming week: Central bank rate calls back in the spotlight
Following another print in US NFP jobs data, markets will pivot to face rate calls from several central banks next week and fresh inflation updates from both the US and China. The US Dollar Index (DXY) spent most of the week on the low end, but made a late recovery on Friday to end the week near the
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US Dollar sees some gains after NFP and sentiment data
DXY trended higher toward 106.00 on Friday. November’s NFP report showed a large beat on job creation. Sentiment data from December came in strong. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of currencies, gained toward 106.00 on Friday, driven by several key mov
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NFP in focus today
Important News for the day Fri, 06th, 14:30 CET US Nonfarm Payrolls. Fri, 06th, 14:30 CET CA Unemployment rate. Nonfarm payrolls The Dollar is heading with negative sentiment into the NFP- news today. A further slide in the Greenback might be expected, should the figure be weaker than expected. The
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EUR/USD: French markets steady ahead of confidence vote – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) has picked up a little ground as market concerns about the impending French government no confidence vote (likely Wednesday) appear to have eased, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes. EUR nudges higher “French assets are trading more comfortably and modest gains in OA
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EUR/CAD Price Analysis: Buyers try to reclaim 20-day SMA after bearish crossover
EUR/CAD rose by 0.26% on Friday. A break and close below 1.4800 could signal further bearish momentum in the short term. The EUR/CAD pair saw a slight uptick in Friday's session, climbing by 0.26% to reach 1.4825. However, despite this modest gain, the pair remains below its 20-day Simple Moving Ave
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