水木安盈
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美联储这轮降息终点在哪里?高盛:在3.25-3.5%左右,比上个周期峰值高出100个基点
美联储本轮降息周期何时画上句号?高盛给出答案:本轮降息周期的最终利率水平将超过传统的中性利率区间,或将落在3.25%至3.5%之间。 这一数字意味着,即使经过一轮降息,利率水平仍将比上个周期峰值高出100个基点。 中性利率指的是在充分就业和2%通胀的情况下,能够使经济保持稳定的联邦基金利率水平。在2019年底时,这一估计值为2.5%,而在最新的经济预测摘要中已上升至2.9%。 高盛指出,中性利率上调的主要原因有两个,包括债券市场的利率走高,以及经济模型对中性利率的更新预估。此外,上调也受到当前强劲的财政支出和风险偏好等非货币政策因素的支撑。 美联储中性利率上调:债市、模型双重佐证 美联储对长期
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每日评论 – 市场波动,美元保持涨势
市场准备迎接为期10日的大幅波动期 今日密切关注财报,美国关键数据也即将公布 黄金和比特币上涨,油价下跌,10年期美债收益率触及4.3% 随着政党继续谈判,日元可能持续下跌 重要数据周来临,今日Alphabet公布财报 市场参与者正准备迎接全新的一周,除周五美国就业报告是关键事件外,还包括一些重要财报的发布。今日Alphabet(谷歌母公司)将公布财报,明日微软(Microsoft)和Meta将公布财报,周四亚马逊(Amazon)和苹果(Apple)即将公布财报。 然而,市场密切关注下周经济日历。11月5日美国总统大选的结果势必影响深远,尤其是针对11月7日美联储会议而言。市场仍坚信下周降息2
XM
Verified
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- 神泣 :在哪第一?我来晚了
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EUR/USD BERGERAK DI ATAS TALI TIPIS MENDEKATI 1,0950 MENJELANG RISALAH FOMC DAN INFLASI AS
EUR/USD berjuang untuk bertahan di atas 1,0950 karena Dolar AS berkinerja kuat menjelang Risalah FOMC.Para pedagang telah memperkirakan perkiraan penurunan suku bunga besar Fed untuk bulan November.ECB diperkirakan akan menurunkan suku bunga sebesar 50 bps pada kuartal terakhir tahun ini. EUR/USD be
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ANG USD/INR AY NAWAWALAN NG TRACTION SA PANGKAT SA US RECESSION
Mas mataas ang Indian Rupee sa unang bahagi ng Asian session noong Martes.Ang mga dayuhang pag-agos ng India at ang nakakapagpapahingang kalakalan sa mga pangunahing kapantay sa Asya ay maaaring patuloy na pahinain ang INR.Ang lahat ng mga mata ay nasa desisyon ng rate ng interes ng RBI sa Huwebes.
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Profit by Following
9,281.46
USD
- Symbol XAU/USD
- Trading Account #1 2146976708
- Broker Juno
- Open/Close price 2,476.79/2,479.61
- Volume Buy 3 Flots
- Profit 846.00 USD
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Profit by Following
169.97
USD
- Symbol XAU/USD
- Trading Account #10 90042567
- Broker ICMarkets
- Open/Close price 2,343.97/2,345.59
- Volume Buy 1.35 Flots
- Profit 218.70 USD
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Daily digest market movers: Mexican Peso on the defensive amidst political uncertainty
In February 2024, AMLO put forward several proposals to the Mexican Congress. These include a Supreme Court reform that suggests electing Supreme Court ministers through popular vote; an electoral reform aimed at electing electoral commission councilors by popular vote and reducing multi-member repr
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Profit by Following
140.8
USD
- Symbol XAU/USD
- Trading Account #11 2089126
- Broker Ec Markets
- Open/Close price 2,321.96/2,322.63
- Volume Buy 2 Flots
- Profit 134.00 USD
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