原油的行情评估
由于对美国等地区需求前景的持续担忧，油价维持在近3个月来的最低水平附近。WTI原油在前三个交易日下跌约8%后，小幅上涨至67美元/桶上方。美国经济放缓和俄罗斯出口弹性增加了油价的下行压力，抵消了沙特最近减产100万桶/日的决定的影响。高盛集团六个月来第三次下调油价预期，称预计供应将增加，需求将减少。短期合约差价也显示出疲软。布伦特原油的即期价差（近月合约与下个月合约的价差）一度接近平价，表明供应充足。不过，有迹象表明，新的实物需求已出现，在美国承诺补充战略石油储备后，美国含硫原油价格达到了一年来的最高水平。此外，美国通胀放缓将支持美联储本周暂停加息，这可能提振能源需求。
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