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里昂:央行优化利率体系 内银看好农行(01288)及建行(00939)

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里昂发表报告指,中国人民银行早前宣布减息,当中1年期和5年期以上LPR下降10个基点,反映中国人民银行优化利率体系。该行预期中国人民银行会有更多的行动,例如在LPR和存款定价方面,以优化利率传导。在美国采取减息行动后,该行认为中国人民银行有更大的减息空间,可能导致银行净息差下滑。

里昂认为较低的LPR将对下半年及明年净息差构成挑战。但长远而言,更好的传导意味着银行资产收益率与负债成本更匹配,令银行更有效地管理净息差。中国人民银行表示,减息目的是加强对实体经济的支持。

该行认为,减息10个基点并不足够,关注于政策升级。考虑到股息回报和全年盈利稳定性,看好H股农行(01288)和建行(00939)。


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