在今年的大涨之后，明年黄金市场或许很难在重演此番表现；① 汇丰银行(HSBC)表示，明年黄金市场很难再出现今年强劲ETF流入的情景；② 该行首席贵金属分析师Jim Steel表示，尽管预计明年黄金ETF增持量将仍然强劲，但很难达到今年的水平；③ Steel预计明年黄金均价1965美元/盎司，主要受到宏观经济表现、宽松货币政策的支撑，但美国民主党候选人拜登上任成为美国总统后，会打压避险情绪；④ 黄金对地缘政治风险是很敏感的，如果拜登治下美国和其它国家缓和了贸易争端，那么地缘政治风险会下降，对黄金是不利的
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