VENGERFTH
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目标赤字率如何影响“跨年行情”?
12月将召开两个关键会议:政治局会议、中央经济工作会议。市场在主要宽基估值修复至中枢位置后,也即将迎来“决胜在冬季”的验证时点。 每年的年末会议如何指引“跨年行情”和“春季躁动”? 首先,是每年12月中旬的政治局会议和中央经济工作会议,决定狭义目标赤字的基调,从而引导市场对于次年广义财政的预期,最终指引跨年行情的演绎方式,也决定了次年“春季躁动”的主要结构。(狭义目标赤字 → 广义财政 → PPI → ROE)。 也就是说,官方目标赤字率大约需要提升1%左右,才能大概率形成广义财政可以显著扩张的预期。 更进一步,来到次年的3-4月,市场则到了见真章的时候。基于“四月决断”,当年广义财政的真正规
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NZD/USD PRICE FORECAST: RECOVERY STALLS NEAR 20-DAY EMA
NZD/USD corrects to near 0.6000 as the US Dollar bounces back.Trump’s protectionist policies would keep the US Dollar’s downside limited.The RBNZ is expected to cut interest rates again by 50 bps. The NZD/USD pair struggles to extend Thursday’s recovery move above 0.6050 and corrects to near the psy
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BoE set to lower interest rates on Thursday with UK inflation under control
Investors expect the Bank of England to cut its policy rate by 25 bps. UK disinflationary pressure gathered further steam in September. The 200-day SMA near 1.2810 holds the downside in GBP/USD. Market consensus points to further easing by the Bank of England's (BoE) upcoming inter
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FXOpenAU被吊销金融服务牌照;AMP Global放弃CySEC牌照
01 ASIC已吊销FXOpenAU的金融服务牌照 ASIC宣布吊销FXOpen AU Pty Ltd的金融服务牌照。此次决定是在ASIC对FXOpen AU进行全面调查后做出的,该调查揭示了FXOpen AU在管理金融服务和遵守牌照要求方面存在严重缺陷。 ASIC的调查发现,FXOpenAU存在多方面的不足,特别是在人员配置方面。监管机构指出,该公司缺乏提供有效金融服务所需的合格人员,并未维持适当的监管安排。这些不足引发了对FXOpen AU在监督金融产品和履行核心义务方面能力的严重担忧。 02 美国外汇/差价合约交易商放弃 CySEC 牌照 · AMP Globa
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Kejar Kepemilikan 100 Gerai di 2030, CSAP Perkuat Ekspansi di Samarinda
Kejar Kepemilikan 100 Gerai di 2030, CSAP Perkuat Ekspansi di Samarinda (foto: MNC Media) IDXChannel - PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) terus menggenjot aksi ekspansinya demi dapat merealisasikan target kepemilikan 100 gerai Mitra10 di 2030 mendatang. Salah satunya dengan memastikan penambahan d
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USD/CHF RISES TO NEAR 0.8600 AS US TREASURY YIELDS CONTINUE TO RISE
USD/CHF advances as the US Dollar gains ground amid rising Treasury yields.The Greenback may struggle due to the rising odds of a 50-basis point Fed rate cut in September.Traders await the SNB’s FX Reserves data to understand the central bank’s interventions in influencing the Swiss Franc. USD/CHF b
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Ekspansi Bisnis, Soechi Lines (SOCI) Dirikan Anak Usaha Baru di Singapura
Ekspansi Bisnis, Soechi Lines (SOCI) Dirikan Anak Usaha Baru di Singapura (Foto: MNC Media) IDXChannel - PT Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI) mendirikan anak usaha baru, Glory Shipping Maritime Pte Ltd yang berkedudukan di Singapura pada 16 Juli 2024. Anak usaha baru perseroan akan bergerak di bidang pelayara
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徳璞股评 | 美股涨跌不一,CPI 数据强化降息预期
美股周四收盘涨跌不一,纳指收跌近 2%。标准普尔 500 指数从创纪录的水平回落,因为投资者从英伟达等年度大型科技赢家中撤出,转向小盘股和房地产相关股票。美国 6 月CPI 低于预期,强化了美联储的降息预期。 美国劳工部周四报告称,美国 6 月未季调 CPI 年率同比上涨 3.0%,低于市场预期的3.1%,创下自去年6月以来的最低水平。同时,6 月 CPI 环比下降 0.1%,这是自 2020 年5月以来首次出现负增长。 Pepperstone Group 高级研究策略师迈克尔-布朗 Michael Brown 表示,CPI 数据进一步证明,美联储可能会在 9 月份降息
Doo Prime
Diamond
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EUR/USD TESTS FRESH SIX-WEEK LOWS BELOW 1.0700 ON FRIDAY
EUR/USD tilted lower on Friday as politicalk upheaval crimps Euro demand.US consumer sentiment survey figures dipped in June.Markets are grappling with odds of fewer Fed rat cuts than hoped. EUR/USD slipped further into the low end on Friday, clipping into 1.0670 before recovering to the 1.0700 hand
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SILVER PRICE ANALYSIS: XAG/USD RETREATS MULA SA LINGGUHANG MATAAS NA AROUND $30.00
Ang pilak ay tumaas ng 1.45% habang ang Fed ay nag-iiwan ng patakaran na hindi nagbabago, nag-aayos ng inflation outlook, at inaasahan ang isang pagbawas sa rate.Ang XAG/USD ay nagpapakita ng double-top pattern na nagpapahiwatig ng mga potensyal na pagtanggi; paunang suporta sa $29.00.Paglaban sa $3
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AMERICAN EXPRESS CO.: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
ScenarioTimeframeWeeklyRecommendationSELL STOPEntry Point232.50Take Profit216.00Stop Loss236.00Key Levels215.00, 216.00, 232.00, 235.00, 236.00, 239.00, 240.00, 250.00, 252.00Alternative scenarioRecommendationBUY STOPEntry Point239.00Take Profit252.00Stop Loss234.00Key Levels215.00, 216.00, 232.00,
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CRUDE OIL BACKSLIDES INTO THE RED ON THURSDAY AS DIMINISHING RATE CUT HOPES WEIGH
WTI falls back below $77 per barrel as investor sentiment sours.Broad-market risk appetite evaporates, dragging broader markets lower.US production continues to threaten hopes of supply shortage. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil slid to fresh lows on Thursday in a risk-off bid sparked by r
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